Q: |
How is the youth population expected to change? |
A: |
The youth population under age 18 is expected to increase about 2% between 2020 and 2030, and nearly 4% by 2035. |
*Race groups exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. Hispanic youth can be any race.
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- Based on the latest population projections from the U.S. Census Bureau, between 2020 and 2030, the population of persons under age 18 is expected to increase 2%. In contrast, the population of persons ages 18 through 24 will increase less than 1%, persons ages 25 to 64 will increase 2%, and the population of those ages 65 and older is expected to increase 30% by 2030.
- The population of youth under age 18 from racial and ethnic minority groups will experience considerable change in the coming years. For example, the number of Asian, non-Hispanic youth will increase 17%, while the number of Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islanders non-Hispanic youth will decrease 1%, and the number of white, non-Hispanic youth will decrease 4% between 2020 and 2030. Youth of Hispanic ethnicity are expected to increase 6% and the number of multi-racial youth is expected to grow 25% during this period.
- As a result of the changes, the race/ethnicity profile of U.S. youth will shift; by 2030, racial-ethnic minorities will account for 53% of the youth population under age 18, and 59% by 2045.
Internet citation: OJJDP Statistical Briefing Book. Online. Available: https://www.ojjdp.gov/ojstatbb/population/qa01101.asp?qaDate=2020.
Released on September 21, 2020. Data Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census. "Projected Population by Single Year of Age, Sex, Race, and
Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2016 to 2060." Released September 2018. Web-based data files available at: https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/2017/demo/popproj/2017-popproj.html. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
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